Tether Chief Executive Paolo Ardoino has issued a stark warning about potential spillover effects from an artificial intelligence sector correction that could significantly impact cryptocurrency markets in 2026, with some analysts projecting Bitcoin could retreat to as low as $65,000 during such a downturn.
The warning comes as Bitcoin trades at $88,740.00, up 1.56% in the past 24 hours but showing signs of consolidation after a volatile year. Market capitalization stands at $1.77 trillion, representing 59.36% dominance in the broader crypto ecosystem valued at nearly $3 trillion.
Ardoino’s concerns reflect growing unease among financial leaders about overvaluation in artificial intelligence investments, which have attracted massive capital inflows throughout 2024 and 2025. The Tether executive joins prominent voices including “Big Short” investor Michael Burry and fellow trader Danny Moses in questioning the sustainability of current AI market valuations.
The correlation between technology sector performance and cryptocurrency markets has become increasingly pronounced as institutional adoption accelerates. According to data from Coinbase Institutional’s recent 2026 outlook report, crypto markets are positioned for “transformative growth” driven by clearer regulation and deeper institutional integration, but this connectivity also creates vulnerability to broader tech sector corrections.
Analysts from Tom Lee’s fund project Bitcoin could fall to a range between $60,000 and $65,000 in the first half of 2026 if broader market sentiment deteriorates. This represents a potential decline of approximately 27% from current levels, though other forecasters maintain more optimistic projections with some predicting Bitcoin could reach $170,000 within three months.
The growing interconnection between AI investments and crypto markets stems from several factors. Bitcoin mining companies have increasingly positioned themselves as AI infrastructure plays, building data centers and offering computational services to AI companies. This dual exposure creates both opportunities and risks as the sectors become more intertwined.
Exchange-traded fund flows represent another critical transmission mechanism between traditional markets and Bitcoin. With approximately 7% of Bitcoin’s supply now held in ETFs, institutional sentiment shifts can rapidly impact pricing. The same mechanisms that fueled Bitcoin’s rally in 2025 could accelerate selling pressure if AI sector concerns spread to broader risk assets.
Market structure changes have fundamentally altered Bitcoin’s traditional four-year halving cycle patterns. Companies including Tesla and MicroStrategy have converted billions into Bitcoin holdings, while traditional financial institutions have gained easier access through spot ETF products. This institutional presence has reduced some volatility while increasing sensitivity to macroeconomic and sector-specific developments.
Industry observers note that historical precedent suggests transformative technologies often generate asset bubbles before achieving sustainable adoption. Railways, radio, aviation, and internet technologies all experienced similar cycles of excessive speculation followed by corrections and eventual stabilization at more reasonable valuations.
Looking toward 2026, Reuters analysis suggests the year will likely bring consolidation and structural progress rather than explosive price action for Bitcoin. Legal frameworks are expected to evolve from regulatory uncertainty toward more defined litigation and compliance structures, potentially providing greater market stability despite ongoing volatility concerns.
The current market environment reflects this tension between enthusiasm for technological advancement and concerns about excessive valuation. Bitcoin’s recent underperformance relative to both equities and gold suggests investors are taking a more cautious approach to risk assets as 2025 concludes, setting the stage for a potentially challenging transition into the new year.
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