August 2025 arrived with dramatic price swings for Bitcoin, the world’s benchmark cryptocurrency. Within days, Bitcoin tumbled below $114,000, triggering over $170 million in forced liquidations across major exchanges, a phenomenon reminiscent of previous high-volatility episodes.

Source: CoinMarketCap
The immediate catalyst was a wave of fresh U.S. tariffs on key imports, sending shockwaves through global markets. As the U.S. dollar index spiked to multi-year highs, risk assets like equities and cryptocurrencies rapidly lost ground. “Bitcoin’s sharp moves often coincide with macro policy surprises,” says a lead economist at CME Group, the operator of the world’s most active BTC futures market.
This dollar surge, combined with the Federal Reserve’s signal to keep interest rates higher for longer, has suppressed risk-taking. According to analysts compiling market data at Bitcoin.org, the correlation between Bitcoin and the U.S. dollar has rarely been stronger than in the current climate.
August is a month with a reputation for market volatility, across both traditional and crypto finance. “Historically, thin summer trading volumes and policy resets create outsized moves,” notes Coinbase Institutional’s research report. This time is no different: options volatility has surged, amplifying swings and triggering automated liquidations, especially among retail traders leveraging their positions.
Retail vs Institutional Dynamics
Glassnode and Coinbase analytics confirm the bulk of recent liquidations came from smaller retail exposures, not from the ‘long-term holders’ or institutional whales. “Institutions are using this period to accumulate or rebalance, rather than panic-sell,” states a recent Coinbase Institutional publication. This divergence is important: the bigger players are showing resilience, while retail traders, chasing the previous rally, are being hurt the most.
Markets now turn to critical support levels: $112,000 and $106,000 identified by technical desks. If the dollar weakens or inflation expectations rise outside the U.S., bullish momentum could return, potentially driving a rapid recovery. Conversely, persistent policy risks may see more volatility. Bitcoin’s August drama highlights not only its sensitivity to global macroeconomic shifts but also the maturing behavior of long-term holders.
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