SHX Crypto, built on the Stellar and Ethereum blockchains, has been gaining traction as a climate-friendly digital currency for decentralized finance (DeFi) and payment systems. Over the past year, its price has shown remarkable growth, climbing from $0.00358 in January 2024 to $0.014 by December 2024, and now reaching $0.012 as of June 26, 2025. This trajectory reflects increasing adoption, with SHX integrated into payment networks and supported by major exchanges like Gate, MEXC, and Bitrue.

The recent price surge to $0.012 can be attributed to several key developments:

  • Supply Lockup Announcement: On June 25, 2025, Stronghold announced that 60 billion SHX tokens, representing 60% of the total supply of 100 billion, have been locked for 5 years. This lockup, governed by smart contracts on the Stellar blockchain, aims to reduce selling pressure and create scarcity, potentially driving up the price.
  • Fintech Partnerships: Stronghold has been expanding its ecosystem, partnering with fintech companies to integrate SHX into payment systems. These partnerships enhance SHX’s utility, particularly in bridging legacy and next-generation payment systems, which could boost demand.

Market Performance and Metrics

As of June 26, 2025, SHX’s current price is $0.06, with a 24-hour trading volume of approximately $967,526 and a market cap of $67,355,331. The circulating supply is around 5.37 billion SHX, significantly lower than the total supply due to the recent lockup. Over the past 24 hours, SHX has seen a 5.2% price increase, but it’s down 9.0% over the last 7 days, indicating some volatility as shown in the chart below.

The all-time high for SHX was $0.05931 on May 17, 2021, which is very close to the current $0.06, suggesting that SHX has reclaimed a significant psychological and technical level. The all-time low was $0.00061301 on April 7, 2021, highlighting the token’s dramatic price range over the years.

SHXUSDT 2025 06 26 21 40 57

Bullish Case: Why SHX Might Stay at $0.012 or Rise Further

Several factors support the case for SHX maintaining or exceeding $0.012:

  • Scarcity Effect: The 60 billion SHX lockup reduces the circulating supply, creating a scarcity-driven narrative. With only 40 billion SHX now available, demand could outstrip supply, especially if adoption continues to grow. This is similar to how other cryptocurrencies with supply reductions, like Bitcoin halving, have historically seen price increases.
  • Increasing Adoption: SHX’s role in payment systems is expanding, with merchants earning rewards and accessing liquidity through the Stronghold Rewards Program. As more users and businesses adopt SHX, demand could rise, supporting higher prices. Recent ties to major platforms like Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and Amazon, further boosting its utility.
  • Market Momentum: The broader crypto market is showing signs of recovery, with Bitcoin and other altcoins gaining momentum. If this trend continues, SHX, as an altcoin, is likely to benefit from the positive sentiment. Recent news articles, such as one from June 23, 2025, SHX up 22% in June.

Bearish Case: Why SHX Might Crash

Despite the bullish outlook, there are risks that could lead to a crash:

  • Overheating Indicators: SHX’s rapid price increase from $0.007 to $0.012 in three months could signal overbought conditions. Technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) might show SHX as overbought, suggesting a potential pullback.
  • Market Volatility: Cryptocurrencies are inherently volatile, and external factors like regulatory changes or macroeconomic shifts could trigger a sell-off. If the broader market experiences a downturn, SHX could be dragged down, given its correlation with market trends.
  • Liquidity Concerns: While the supply lockup reduces selling pressure, it also means liquidity might be constrained. If large holders decide to sell, especially at exchanges with limited supply like Bitrue, it could create downward pressure on the price, leading to a crash.

Key Signals to Watch

For investors and traders, the following signals will be critical in determining SHX’s future trajectory:

  • Trading Volume: High trading volumes indicate strong interest and liquidity, which could support the current price. The 48-hour trading volume is $967,526, but a drop in volume to $731,850 might signal waning interest and a potential pullback. Investors should monitor this metric daily.
  • Market Trends: SHX often follows broader crypto market movements. If Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies continue their upward trend, SHX is likely to follow. Conversely, a market correction could drag SHX down.
  • News and Announcements: Official updates from Stronghold, particularly on their X account , will be key. Recent posts include the 60 billion SHX lockup announcement and live AMAs discussing escrow and payments, which could significantly impact the price. Investors should stay tuned for any new partnerships or product launches.
  • Technical Indicators: Tools like moving averages, RSI, and MACD as shown in the chart above can provide insights into SHX’s momentum. Currently, with the rapid price increase, some indicators might suggest overbought conditions, but a consolidation phase could reset these metrics.

Conclusion

SHX Crypto’s climb to $0.012 is a testament to Stronghold’s strategic moves, particularly the 60 billion SHX lockup and growing adoption in payment systems. The evidence leans toward SHX potentially maintaining this price, supported by scarcity and bullish sentiment, but market volatility and overbought conditions pose risks of a crash. Investors should monitor trading volumes, market trends, official announcements, and technical indicators closely. As always, in the volatile world of crypto, caution and thorough research are essential before making investment decisions.

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